Good ground forecast for today’s seven-race card at Market Rasen although there is the prospect of light showers in Lincolnshire during the afternoon.
Dadsintrouble is visored for the first time and is entitled to come on for his Hereford reappearance. He is on an attractive mark, but this is a competitive heat and First Lord De Cuet (1.30) looked ready for a step up in distance when runner up at Sandown last time. David Pipe’s point winner has been raised a couple of pounds for that run but can race from his old mark this afternoon. The opening 10/3 looked a bit too big and the 2/1 with 10bet is the best price at the time of posting.
JP McManus has won the last couple of Pertemps Finals at the Cheltenham Festival courtesy of Sire Du Berlais and he has three going to post in the qualifier this afternoon including Irish raider Tower Bridge. It promises to be a most informative contest.
The lightly-raced Muckamore is a point winner who ran very well in all three hurdles – all right-handed – and won his last start at Taunton on soft ground back in February. He must go close and significant rain would be a plus, but marginal preference at the forecast odds goes to Thunderstruck (2.03) who also won between the flags and ran his best race over timber first time out on decent ground.
The Emma Lavelle yard are in good form with three winners in the last week including on the level at Kempton. The each way recommendation is 10/1 with Boylesports.
At Wincanton first time blinkers worked the oracle with Un Beau Roman at Plumpton last time but the main dangers failed to complete the course and preference is for Lots Of Luck (2.12) who looked ready for a step back up in trip when runner up at Huntingdon earlier in the month.
The selection – 7/2 with BetVictor from 4s – was no match for the progressive Bathiva on his reappearance, but he has not been out of the first two in his last five chase starts and is clearly going the right way.
Sizable Sam (12.10) represents the Jeremy Scott yard who have pulled up few trees of late but his Bumper form was given a boost when the horse who finished second to him at Warwick – Cadzand – back in February ran out a fluent winner back at the midlands track on Wednesday. There was 11/4 available first thing but he is a best-priced 7/4 with 10bet at the time of posting,
Sehayli (3.42) appeared to benefit from a change of tactics when making all at Hereford last week and he is taken to follow up under Kevin Brogan in the conditional jockey’s handicap hurdle. The selection – 11/10 from 11/8 with 10bet – has a 7lbs penalty this afternoon and you could argue that he is 12lbs higher today given Brogan does not claim and Mitchell Bastyan was able to take 5lbs from his back last time.
The Trader is odds on for the mile-and-a-half handicap at Newcastle on the level but Amazing Red (2.20) is 18lbs better off – 15lbs if you include jockey’s claim – with the favourite for the 7L he was behind that rival at Newmarket back in June and he can cause a bit of a shock.
Ed Dunlop’s seven-year-old – 9/2 with BetVictor – will need a truly run race as he does get further, and jockey James Doyle cannot allow PJ McDonald to control the race at his own pace from the front on The Trader. If he does, I believe he can end a long losing run.