Good ground forecast at Hamilton for this afternoon’s card and Lubna is likely to be all the rage for Saeed bin Suroor in the mile handicap for three-year-olds having won a Brighton Maiden by over 8L on ground given as soft, although the winning time suggested it was no worse than good to soft. last week. He carries a 6lbs penalty today and is fitted with first-time cheek pieces for his handicap debut.
Night Terrors (2.45) was tenderly handled from a moderate draw when fifth at Thirsk last time and I would expect to see a different proposition now that he is sent handicapping. The ew recommendation – 9/2 with Boylesports – is not exactly thrown in off an opening mark of 69, but he is bred to be useful, and Danny Tudhope takes over in the saddle for the first time.
There is an ultra competitive valuable mile handicap, and I am loath to desert Chichester (3.50) who did us such a favour in the Carlisle Bell last week and looks sure to run a big race under a 6lbs penalty from his good draw. Howzer Black should ensure a decent gallop and I hope to see Graham Lee produce the selection inside the final furlong. The ew rcommendation is 4s with 10Bet.
Stunning Beauty was strongly fancied for the Kensington Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot earlier in the month, but Silvestre De Sousa failed to take the blindfold off in time and the filly was left at the start. Her previous win at Doncaster suggests she may still be well treated despite having to shoulder 10st. Pat Cosgrave takes over in the saddle today.
The opening novice chase at Stratford is a summer treat with five of the six contenders holding realistic claims. It would not look out of place at Cheltenham’s Showcase meeting in October but is a race best watched.
Of more interest from a punting perspective is the following handicap chase and the form of El Borracho’s Worcester win on chase debut was given a huge boost when the runner up – Mahler’s Promise – dotted up at Newton Abbott last week from a 3lbs higher mark. Oliver Greenall’s 6-y-old ran poorly on his sole previous start at today’s track over hurdles and he is not the biggest, but he jumped like a cat on his chase debut and is a worthy market leader.
The each way vote, however, goes to Scardura (6.00) who lost his way over fences last season but bounced back to something like his best when third at Newton Abbott last time. The recommendation – 5s with MansionBet – is now just 2lbs higher than when scoring back in September.
Those with hurdling experience look vulnerable in the Maiden Hurdle and San Fermin (7.30) is taken to make a winning debut over timber for Olly Murphy having won a modest Bumper on his first start for the yard at Market Rasen. The selection is 13/8 with BetVictor.
Mordred was useful on the flat, but is not exactly bred for the jumps. The booking of Tom Scudamore would suggest, however, that Paul Webber is expecting a big run from his 5-y-o son of Camelot.