The ground was described as good to soft at Redcar on Wednesday with showers forecast for raceday although the more significant rain for the area is likely to come after racing.
Sweet Believer did us a favour when scoring over C&D last week and could easily defy a 6lbs penalty. The filly has won her last couple in the manner of a progressive filly and is proven on good to soft ground although do note she did disappoint on her sole start on heavy ground. She has opened up a shade of odds on, however, and that might be short enough.
Give It Some Teddy (2.50) has bounced back to his best form in recent starts, and he carries just a 4lbs penalty for scoring at Thirsk on Sunday. He remains fairly treated on his best form and is a five-time C&D winner. He gets the each way vote at 5/1 with William Hill.
Aquaman (3.20) has not yet climbed the heights I thought he might reach earlier in the season although connections look to have found a gilt-edged opportunity to land the 7f handicap with the 6lbs 3-y-old weight-for-allowance a big plus.
Andrea Atzeni travels north for a couple of short-priced favourites and Aquaman faces largely exposed rivals and the Evens with BetVictor looks about right.
The ground was described as soft at Deauville on Tuesday when Mother Earth confirmed earlier Falmouth Stakes form with Primo Bacio although the times suggested that conditions were no worse than good to soft. William Buick is chasing a first jockey’s title and he goes to Yarmouth today and misses the ride on One Ruler (5.25) in the listed mile with Christophe Soumillon taking over in the saddle.
The selection -11/8 with William Hill – finished sixth in both the Guineas and Derby earlier in the season and looked in need of a bit of cut in the ground when no match for the outstanding Baeed on the July course last time. This represents a drop in grade, and I would be disappointed if he did not gain an overdue first win of the year.
The unexposed Bake is a fascinating contender in the Mile Handicap at Doncaster on week two of the Racing League this evening. He could be well treated from on opening mark of 82, but his winning time when scoring at Yarmouth was nothing out of the ordinary and he is not certain to be suited by the step up to a stiff mile tonight.
My two against the field are Sugauli and Irish challenger Adelisa (7.20) with preference for Joseph O’Brien’s lightly raced maiden who has not been seen since finishing third at Navan over 10f back in May having been taken out of a Listowel maiden on account of the soft ground the following month.
The filly will be ridden by excellent 3lb claimer Dylan Brown McMonagle and ran a very promising race on the all weather at Dundalk back in March. The filly will get further but this straight mile should suit. The ew recommendation is 4s with 10Bet.
Joseph O’Brien’s brother Donnacha saddles a maiden of his own courtesy of Moon Daisy (8.25) who can land the concluding 12f handicap under just 8st 1lb. The filly was unlucky not to finish closer at Galway last week over 1m 6f and her stamina and light weight will be an asset over the last couple of furlongs. There was 13/2 available on Wednesday but she is into 4s at BetVictor at the time of posting.