There is a good Monday card at Ludlow this afternoon and hope to see Nico De Boinville make plenty of use of Son Of Camas (2.30) reverting to the minimum trip having run well on his first start back following a break at Sandown last month. The selection – 4s with Boylesports – finished third in the Grade 1 Tolworth as a Novice Hurdler and great things were expected of him over the larger obstacles.
That has not been the case, but three wind surgeries would indicate his breathing is an issue and the hope is that second time after his latest procedure might be the time to catch him. The gelding was rated 9lbs higher when finishing third on his chase debut at Kempton on Boxing Day and I hope to see him bowl along in front if nothing else wants to make it.
Wild Max makes his chase debut for Paul Nicholls, but a bigger danger may come from Raya Star who is entitled to come on for his first start for Tom George having left Henry De Bromhead in the summer. The selection is the outsider of the four-runner field at 7/2.
Nelsons Rock (3.00) has been raised 4lbs for winning at Taunton on his first start over three miles and I hope to see him follow up in the conditional jockey’s event. Harry Kimber was in the saddle in Somerset, and he keeps the ride for Colin Tizzard. Note he is entered back at Taunton on Thursday and would escape a penalty if scoring today. The 11/4 with 10Bet looks fair.
The obvious danger is Canisters of Philip Hobbs who scored over 2m 6f at Stratford last time from a 3lbs lower mark. His young conditional jockey has yet to ride a winner under rules but does claim a whopping 10lbs.
A Distant Place is likely to head the market in the Musselburgh opener, but I thought the other penalised runner Thunder Rock (12.15) looked more than useful when scoring at Wetherby on his second start over timber last month and he can continue the excellent form of the Olly Murphy yard. The opening 7/4 with Bet365 was too big and he is into Evens with MansionBet at the time of posting on Sunday evening.
Todays is a better race than the 3m handicap hurdle that Wakool (2.15) won over C&D last time, but he has now won two of his three starts at this trip and he can continue to progress for Nicky Richards. He had the third 8L back when he went clear with one other here last time and a 4lbs rise may not stop his progress. Note he has not finished out of the first three in his last seven starts and is only 7lbs higher than when beginning the run over 12 months ago. The 2s with William Hill looks about right.
Arecids Felix has been put in short enough at 2/1 for the 2m 7f handicap chase for one who must prove his stamina for the trip although the same can be said of Upandatit (2.45). The selection does have plenty of stamina in his pedigree, however, and hit the line hard when a close third at Ayr over 2m 4f on his chase debut last time. Indeed, he made a mistake at the last or he may well have made a winning chase debut; he can run off the same mark this afternoon.
There was 5/2 about on Sunday afternoon/early evening but the selection is 13/8 with Boylesports at the time of posting.